1 2 3

IMAGE Imgs/art2801.gif

S n o w

C o v e r

S t a b i l i t y,

A v a l a n c h e

I n i t ia t i o n

a n d

F o r e c a s t i n g

IMAGE Imgs/art2802.gif

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Figure 2 Natural avalanche activity along the transportation corridor throughGlacier
National Park. The avalanche activity index is the sum of all natural avalanchesconsidering
avalanche size by a weightingfactor (approximately related to thevolume).


Initially,artilleryavalanche controlwasunsuccessful inlikely due to depth of the weak layer.Substantial cooling
initiating release of this weakness due to the spatial distri-may also have contributed to stabilization.
bution of the surface hoar layer,andto the slab propertiesThe casestudysuggeststhatmonitoring snowpackweak-
that were not favourable forfailure initiation (Schweizernessesisan essentialpartofsuccessful stabilityevalua-
et al., 1995). Finally, during theavalanchecycle of Januarytion.Jamieson (1995) showed in detail that the skiersta-
10-11,1996,avalanches fromthe high elevationstartingbilityindexisa betterpredictorforskiertriggered slabs
zonesrunningonanewsnowinstability,triggeredthethan common meteorological observations. Consistent and
surface hoar layer in most avalanchepaths resulting in thecontinuous shear frame measurementsin a representative
release of large masses of snow.study plot on new (storm) and old (persistent) snow insta-
Skier triggeringwas unlikelyuntil about 5 January 1996.bilities is a good method tomonitorthe strength of weak
Most involvements were reported around 8 January 1996layers.Asslabpropertiesare importanttoassessfailure
after additional snow fall, and in particular, after warmingpropensity, these measurements should be complemented
quicklychanged the slab properties.Afterthe laststormwith stabilitytests on nearby slopes.
on15January1996,skiertriggering quicklybecameun-

IMAGE Imgs/art2807.gif

Figure 3 Air temperature (at 07.00) at Rogers Pass 1300 m a.s.l and Mt. Fidelity 1905 m a.s.l.
duringthe second half of December 1995 showing the strong atmospheric inversion.

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