1 2 3

IMAGE Imgs/art6301.gif

C a s e

H i s t o r i e s

IMAGE Imgs/art6302.gif


StormsandAvalanchesofNovember1995,KhumbuHimal,Nepal
RichardKattel mann1andTomomiYamada2

1 Sierra Nevada Aquatic Research Lab, Star Route 1, Box198, Mammoth Lakes, CA 93546 USA

phone: 619/935-4903 fax: 619/935-4867 email: rick@icess.ucsb.edu

2
Institute of Low Temperature Science, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, 060 Japan


Key Words: severe storms, rare avalanches, Nepal HimalayaAbout75-80percent oftheannualprecipitation ofthe
Khumbu Himal (MountEverest region) of east Nepal oc-
ABSTRACTcursduringthesummermonsoonperiod(Inoue,1976).
A severe storm struck the Nepal Himalaya on November 9Average annualprecipitationat valley stations is about one
and 10,1995.This storm wasthe most intense event tometer at elevations of 3,400 to 3,900 m, and less than a half
occur during the autumn in at least 50 years.The autumnmeter at 4,400 m (Inoue, 1976).There are indications that
season in the Himalaya tends to be quite dry, so this stormprecipitationmaybeconsiderablygreaterontheupper
seemed extraordinary.Precipitation gages at lower eleva-slopes than in the valleys in this area(Higuchi, etal. 1982).
tions caught 50 to 200 mmof rain during the storm.ColdAlthough extraordinary amounts of rainfall (hundreds of
temperatures ledto snowfall above 3,500 m in the Khumbumillimeters perday) can occur during the summerin the
region of east Nepal,and snow depths increased rapidlyHimalayan foothills,daily amounts exceeding 50 mm are
with elevation.About 30-50 cm of snow fell at 3,800m;relatively rare in thehigh-elevation valleys of the Khumbu
50-100 cm of snow was found at about 4,000 m;and 100-Himal.Inthepost-monsoonperiod,skiesaretypically
200cmofsnowwasdepositedabove5,000m.Thein-cloud-free and precipitation is unusual (Yasunari,1976).
tensesnowfallgenerated numerousavalanches through-During winter, westerly disturbances occasionally deposit
out the region.A few had tragic consequences.The worsta few centimeters of snow.Total winter-season accumula-
incident occurrednear the village of Pangkhain the Gokyotion at two sites above 5,500 min the Langtang region of
Valley where a crowded lodgewas destroyedbyan iso-central Nepal averagedabout 200 mm of water equivalence
latedavalanche.Twenty-four peoplewerekilledthere.(Steinegger, et al., 1993).This region is believed to receive
SevenotherdeathsresultedfromanavalancheintheconsiderablymoreprecipitationthantheKhumbuarea
Kanchenjungaarea of far eastern Nepal.Many otherpeo-(Steinegger, et al., 1993).
ple were involved in non-fatal avalanche accidents.Hun-Avalanches are not known to have been the subject of
dredsofpeoplewerestrandedbythedeepsnowsandany systematic study in the Nepal Himalaya.Most of the
approximately 550 people were flown out of thesnow zonescientificworkonHimalayanavalancheshas beencon-
by helicopters.At least 100 animals were lost by burial inducted at the Snow and Avalanche Study Establishment
the deep snows.Village life in the higherareas was dis-in Manali, India(e.g., MohanRao, et al., 1987).Additional
ruptedthroughmuchofthewinter.Theresidualdeepresearchhasbeenconductedevenfartherwestinthe
snowsresultedinanotheravalanche cycleinMarchasKarakorum (e.g.,de Scally and Gardner, 1990 and 1994).
percolating melt water destabilized slopes.A brief descriptionof avalanchephenomenaintheKhumbu
Himal was written by Andre Roch (1954) during the Swiss
INTRODUCTIONreconnaissanceexpeditions to Mount Everest.Most of the
ThesnowclimateandavalancheregimeoftheNepalobservations of avalanches in the area have been made by
Himalayaispoorlydocumentedinwesternliterature.climbers.Avalanches on the high peaks have killed a sur-
Occasional scientific work has been conductedin associa-prisinglylarge fractionofclimbers,especially whenex-
tionwithmountaineeringexpeditions (e.g.,Roch,1954;pressed in relation to successful ascents (McClung, 1981).
Muller,1959),and some expedition reports contain anec-The avalanchehazard to Himalayan climbers ranges from
dotal information that might be useful to compile.Muchsmallsluffsthatcause a climbertofalltogiantice ava-
of ourcurrent knowledge has been developed during thelanches that descend thousands of meters and impact ex-
Japanese Glaciological Expedition to Nepal (e.g., Higuchi,posed base camps (McClung, 1981).Countless mountain-
1976and1993).Nepal'sDepartmentofHydrologyandeering articles describe avalanche releases from the steep
Meteorologyhasexpandedroutinedatacollectionintoterrain after even a few centimeters of snowfall.
higher elevation areas in recent years (Grabs and Pokhrel,
1993).If these stations can be continued,the systematic
THESTORM OF NOVEMBER 1995
record shouldeventuallyyieldacharacterization oftheAlthough cyclonic storms routinely develop in the Bay of
snow climate ofthe Nepal Himalaya.However,fornow,Bengal in the post-monsoon period, they typically remain
we are left with sporadic snapshots of storm activity andat low latitudes and do not approach the Himalaya.The
snow coverof thishigh mountain area.Thispaper pro-storm that began to develop on November7, 1995did not
videsabriefdescriptionofthemostseveresnowstormappear unusualat its onset.However, it soon took a trajec-
and avalanche cycle known to have occurred in east Ne-tory almost due north, the only such event documented in
pal.November between1891 and 1970 (more recentstorm track
The climate of the Himalayan region isdominated bydatawas notavailable)(Yamada, etal.,1996).Initially,
the monsoon circulation that results in high precipitationthepathofthestormwasdirectedtowardwest-central
from June through September, andrelatively little precipi-Nepal, but rapidlychangingcirculationmoved the air mass
tationduringthe balanceoftheyear(e.g.,Mani,1981).into east Nepal on November 9.Orographiclifting resulted
inheavypr ecipitationinthehigherHimalaya.

257